Hands-on math!

Washington State Math Olympiad
Hints and Solutions
2011 Grade 7 Probability and Statistics

Problem
1) At the local middle school math night, one game has a grand prize that everyone wants. To play and win you need to get three 6's. There are two options:
Option 1: roll a regular number cube with the numbers 1 to 6 on it three times and hopefully roll a 6 each time.
Option 2: pull three balls from a bin that contains 18 balls; each ball has one number on it and there are three balls for each number from 1 to 6.

Which option is better and why? Include the probabilities for both options in your answer.

2) Lena is signing up for classes at her summer camp. She wants to take gymnastics, horseback riding, drawing, and theatre just like her friend Rhoda. Gymnastics and drawing are offered all four sessions. Horseback riding is offered session 2 and 3. Theatre is offered session 1 and 4. Campers take one class a session. She wants the same schedule Rhoda has; Gymnastics, drawing, horseback riding and theatre, in that order. If she is assigned randomly to a schedule that includes her four choices, what is the probability she will get the same schedule as Rhoda?

3) Three cousins all have birthdays that fall on the 27th day of different months and none were born in a leap year. What is the probability of that happening? Express your answer as a fraction, you need not reduce it.

Problem
4) The Bin Candy Store has candy bins arranged along two walls. Along the first wall the price is $3.95 per pound. Along the second wall the price is $6.50 per pound. On Saturday the store sells 450 pounds from the first wall bins and 200 pounds from the second wall bins. What was the average cost in dollar per pound of candy sold on Saturday? Express your answer to the nearest cent.
5) Scientists are monitoring the population of a parrot species in a jungle. One day they catch and tag 50 parrots and release them. A week later they return and catch 50 parrots again and find that 15 of those parrots are tagged. Based only on this data, what is a good initial estimate for the population of this species of parrot in this jungle?